{
  "schema": "thecryptoport.catalysts/1.0",
  "site": "https://thecryptoport.com",
  "board_date": "2026-08-25",
  "built_from_brief_date": "2026-08-24",
  "generated_at": "2026-08-25T11:50:01Z",
  "stale_days": 1,
  "stale": false,
  "stale_after_days": 2,
  "notice": "Commentary on public statements, not advice. The Crypto Port summarizes what named crypto YouTube channels said in published videos. Nothing here is financial, investment, legal or tax advice. No position is held in any asset listed. No channel or person is rated, ranked or scored. Accuracy and timeliness are not guaranteed.",
  "license": "Facts and dates are not copyrightable; the compilation is offered for free use with attribution to thecryptoport.com. Summarized video content remains (c) its original creators.",
  "catalyst_count": 26,
  "anchor": {
    "schema": "thecryptoport.anchor/0.1",
    "note": "An anchor proves this record existed on this date and has not been edited since. It says nothing about whether the call was right.",
    "root": null,
    "leaf": null,
    "proof": null,
    "network": "eip155:84532",
    "tx": null,
    "verify_url": "https://thecryptoport.com/verify.html?ref=2026-08-25:catalysts"
  },
  "catalysts": [
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2026-08-14",
      "due_label": "Aug 14",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "Friday Aug 14: SEC commissioners vote on the first formal crypto rulemaking. Falsified instantly if no SEC open meeting occurs. Read the meeting notice for what the rule actually is — CCV and Lark describe two different rules on the same date.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-13",
      "past_due": true,
      "days_until": -11
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2026-08-15",
      "due_label": "August–September",
      "approximate": 1,
      "description": "Cowen's equity correction, pulled forward. Yesterday: late Sept/early Q4. Today: \"starting at about August or September,\" likely at the next Fed meeting. The revision is itself the datapoint — same author, same call, window moved 4–6 weeks earlier in 24 hours.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-19",
      "past_due": true,
      "days_until": -10
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2026-08-19",
      "due_label": "Aug 19",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "White House crypto summit. Both Altcoin Daily and CCV flagged it; CCV names attendees (Coinbase, Ripple, Gemini, Robinhood, Kraken, Polymarket, plus Bessent), Altcoin Daily adds the CFTC and SEC chairs and CME/ICE/DTCC. Topic: tokenization. Checkable within 24 hours.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-18",
      "past_due": true,
      "days_until": -6
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2026-08-20",
      "due_label": "Aug 20",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "CFTC innovation advisory committee, live-streamed on cftc.gov. Agenda: crypto regulation, AI, prediction markets. Advisory only — no binding rules.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-15",
      "past_due": true,
      "days_until": -5
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2026-08-21",
      "due_label": "Aug 21",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "Jackson Hole / Warsh. The Cowen panel's derail risk. Outcome not in any of nine videos. Get it — it moves the hike-vs-no-hike row.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-23",
      "past_due": true,
      "days_until": -4
    },
    {
      "canon": "HYPE",
      "due": "2026-08-25",
      "due_label": "Aug 25",
      "approximate": 1,
      "description": "HYPE USDC fee switch (~$200M/yr, Lark 8/20). Author published again and did not restate it. Trigger $77, RSI 78, reload mid-$60s. Verify the activation on Hyperliquid governance before treating $77 as live.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-23",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 0
    },
    {
      "canon": "GTA-6 TOKEN",
      "due": "2026-08-27",
      "due_label": "Aug 27",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "GTA 6 trailer, Netflix + YouTube (precedents cited: 290M / 177M views). ⚠️ Date conflict: the 8/11 board carried ~Aug 25 for the same event. One of them is wrong; the event itself is externally checkable.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-15",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 2
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2026-08-31",
      "due_label": "Aug 31",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "head-to-head monthly close: Altcoin Daily \"> $74,000\" vs Cowen \"~$56,000\" (8/13, unretired). Spot ~$78k (8/22). Score both as written. The Cowen row's real finding is five sessions of silence on his own number.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-23",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 6
    },
    {
      "canon": "BTC",
      "due": "2026-08-31",
      "due_label": "Aug 31",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "Cowen's BTC ~$56,000 end-of-August call (8/13). Spot is mid-70s.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-21",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 6
    },
    {
      "canon": "BTC",
      "due": "2026-09-01",
      "due_label": "Sept 1",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "…ance / breakdown below June lows (CCV) · triangle terminus ~Sept 1 (Lark) · sitting on 200-week MA, optimal 2–4yr buy (A",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-13",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 7
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2026-09-09",
      "due_label": "Sept 9",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "Treasury buybacks double, $2B → $4B/month. Now four-channel. Today's corroborating claim: 10Y at 4.6% (−6 bps), 30Y at 5.19% (−9 bps). Both the schedule and the yield prints are verifiable against Treasury and the curve.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-21",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 15
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2026-09-15",
      "due_label": "Sept 15",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "Senate Clarity Act vote. Armstrong: \"far more than 60\", Thune's scheduling as the tell. Hayes, same channel: \"terrible.\" Market odds 19–20%, five sessions un-updated — find the current line.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-23",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 21
    },
    {
      "canon": "BTC",
      "due": "2026-09-15",
      "due_label": "Sept",
      "approximate": 1,
      "description": "Cowen's 10–20% equity correction, explicitly not a recession, and explicitly the window in which BTC prints its cycle low. This overlaps Crypto Face's independently-derived Sept–Oct oil-shock window (8/17). Two channels, two methods, one date range — the most substantive accidental agreement the ser",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-18",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 21
    },
    {
      "canon": "ETH",
      "due": "2026-09-15",
      "due_label": "September",
      "approximate": 1,
      "description": "CCV's ETH throwback to $1,900–2,000 (50-/200-day). Falsifier of the \"extended\" read: a clean break of $2,600–2,800 first.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-23",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 21
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2026-10-04",
      "due_label": "Oct 4",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "the four-year-cycle bottom ($40–50k) is the bulls' scoreable claim (Lark invalidated; CCV dead; panel bottomed) — and Altcoin Daily's $500k-by-2029 depends on the same cycle being alive. Keep ATR's Oct 4–5 bottom and Cowen's mid-October inflection on the same line.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-23",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 40
    },
    {
      "canon": "BTC",
      "due": "2026-10-04",
      "due_label": "Oct 4",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "ATR's projected BTC cycle bottom (364 days from peak). Note the author simultaneously argues the bottom may already be in at 319 days — an internal contradiction he acknowledges.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-21",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 40
    },
    {
      "canon": "BTC",
      "due": "2026-10-06",
      "due_label": "Oct 6",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "4-year-cycle bear deadline, BTC $40,000 (Lark, 8/18). Now orphaned by its author at one session old.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-19",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 42
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2026-10-15",
      "due_label": "Oct 2026",
      "approximate": 1,
      "description": "Rubicon's generational bottom (\"1–2 months of downside left\" as of 8/16), followed by \"3 years of up\". Converts to a datable window; note his own cycle math ($16k → $125k, then $125k → $60k) implies the bear is already −52%.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-17",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 51
    },
    {
      "canon": "BTC",
      "due": "2026-10-15",
      "due_label": "October",
      "approximate": 1,
      "description": "$40,000 BTC (Lark, attributing to the four-year-cycle crowd, \"still possible, not ruled out\"). Note the attribution shift: on 8/18 this was Lark's own call with a Senate mechanism; today it is other people's scenario he declines to dismiss. Same number, third framing, decreasing ownership.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-20",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 51
    },
    {
      "canon": "FLOP",
      "due": "2026-10-15",
      "due_label": "October 2026",
      "approximate": 1,
      "description": "FLOP testnet (~90 days) → Q1 2027 mainnet (Hayes). Airdrop- only, ≈ 20% of 10-year supply. The only action is to note whether the testnet ships on the date the founder gave.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-23",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 51
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2026-10-17",
      "due_label": "Oct 17",
      "approximate": 1,
      "description": "Treasury's 60-day comment window closes on the section 3 rule (defining \"issue\" and \"offer/sell\"). Open now; the comment record is public and readable.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-18",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 53
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2026-10-28",
      "due_label": "Oct 28",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "Cowen's next inflection, derived from 53-day (2019: Oct 28 high) and 63-day (2022) precedents. Two independent channels now point at early-to-mid October for the cycle's decisive move, from completely different models.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-21",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 64
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2026-11-04",
      "due_label": "Nov 4",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "Treasury buybacks (≥ 2×; \"could be bigger than $4B\"). Four-source schedule. New checkables: Hayes's FEMA repo facility and ~$1T Japanese-held UST; VanEck's T-bill share 23% vs 15–20%; the 10-year vs 5%. Log the 10Y/30Y prints — the 8/21 yields were not restated by anyone.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-23",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 71
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2027-01-18",
      "due_label": "Jan 18, 2027",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "Genius Act licensing gate. Issuing a stablecoin requires a license; exchanges may not offer foreign-issued stablecoins absent proof of US compliance and a home-country arrangement. Both channels agree on the date.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-18",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 146
    },
    {
      "canon": "BTC",
      "due": "2027-06-02",
      "due_label": "June 2",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "…is contested as resistance vs. launchpad +7%, highest since June 2; $1.2B shorts liquidated in 60 min; $70,000 touched (",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-20",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 281
    },
    {
      "canon": "",
      "due": "2028-07-18",
      "due_label": "Jul 18, 2028",
      "approximate": 0,
      "description": "second Genius Act gate: exchanges generally may not sell any stablecoin not made by a licensed issuer. Directly determines whether USDT keeps US distribution.",
      "brief_date": "2026-08-18",
      "past_due": false,
      "days_until": 693
    }
  ]
}